5 Reasons I’m Not Worried About the New Real Estate Market Correction

There is more and more talk about a new real estate correction happening. It’s smart to be alert and aware of how the market is changing. But it’s even more important and wise to be ahead of the curve and to have efforts in place to weather the storm.

Whether or not you’ve experienced a correction, there are things you can do now to mitigate risk when it happens. Here’s what I do personally so I don’t have to worry as much when I hear news of a possible market correction.

1. I buy based on Cash Flow, not Appreciation.

My real estate investing model is to acquire income properties. I’m not counting on flipping or gambling on appreciation. That seems especially dangerous right now. The numbers have to work up front, and I have to be able to hold it. More recently, I moved up to larger multifamily apartments, which are even more resilient during tougher economic times.

2. I focus on Growth Markets.

There may be some housing markets and cities that have peaked or even surpassed their recent peaks already. Still, there are also markets that are growing and have plenty of room for growth. Even within these cities, it is best to make sure not to be investing in the worst neighborhoods, which have poor performance and crime rates that bring down values. Initial cash flow projections and returns on investments in those lower income neighborhoods may look good on paper, but the longevity is not there. That is why they frequently change hands to different owners in short time periods of time.

3. I’m Selective.

Most investors are picking full-priced properties (or higher) off of the MLS. These are mostly condos and townhouses which had higher appreciation than detached homes in the past year. They are gambling on appreciation to sell them for more or are putting little rehab work in to them to sell. You may want to be more selective. I probably now look at 20 to 50 properties before pulling one down to work on.

4. I stick to the numbers.

The numbers have to work. It’s still hard not to fall in love with properties, but you can’t afford to. You aren’t going to live there. It is far more profitable to just buy on the numbers alone.

If you let yourself fall in love with a property, you can be tempted to stretch numbers, make excuses, add in hope instead of facts, and generally sell yourself on a property you have no business buying. It helps to have a great partner who underwrites the deals on the math and always keeps you in check.

5. I focus on service and long-term value.

When it comes to management, I’m focusing more on service and making apartments “communities.” So, if or when rents drop, then that can give us the upper hand. If another community has lower rents or is marketing special deals, but our service is better with the rent rates a little higher, that is value we offer, and folks will see that.

People have been burned so badly and frequently in so many aspects in this day and age that they just want a business that will do what they say. It’s interesting that this basic level of honesty is so rare—and that’s good for us. It’s sad to see what will happen to so many other brands and jobs because they are trying to squeeze every dime out of people with sneaky tactics. People know they can trust us. They will stay. They will tell their friends, family, coworkers, and people they meet in the coffee shop or gym. That means lower turnover rates, and it adds far more net profit to our properties.

There may or may not be a housing correction at play in your market. No matter when it comes or how deep it is, there are smart adjustments investors can make now to avoid risk. If you think bigger and longer term and aren’t drawn into stampedes in either direction, you will be OK.