Mortgage Minute - July 2022 ***Volume 43***

Sean Humphries - Mortgage Broker

Dominion Lending Centres - Edge Financial

sean@torontolending.ca
(647) 293-3128
https://seanhmortgages.ca/

Sean - Facebook Sean - Instagram Sean - Twitter Sean - Linkedin

Why should I care about inflation?

 

Runaway inflation on our consumer goods and services can cause consumers to panic-buy large purchases and stockpile food.  When prices seem like they are going higher and higher consumers believe that they would be better off making large purchases now rather than wait for later when they really need it.  This pushes demand for goods higher, which in turn raises prices as supply for these goods diminishes. In reaction to higher prices and the overall cost of living, people demand higher wages.  It is a reactionary and cyclical phenomenon, which eventually devalues our dollar versus the rest of the world, and weakens our economy.

Hot Take

I think the inflationary pressure that we are hearing in the media is a lot of noise.  The real issues are supply chain (particularly Covid-related shutdowns in China) and the war in Ukraine.  When the supply chain resolves itself, and we have had a full-cycle of increased inflation, it will come back to normal levels.  Inflation is measured year-over-year.  

We are already seeing a decrease in gas prices at the pump, as the threat of a recession becomes more real, people are travelling less and business are not spending as much. 

Prices for wheat and soy beans have dropped to their pre-Ukrainian war level, which means that the war is no longer effecting our food prices as severely.  



Bike Ride to Tommy Thompson Park

 

We rode our bikes down to the Leslie Street Spit (Tommy Thompson Park) last week.  The big payoff was tossing big rocks into the water at the end!

It was the first time that we rode from our house and back.  

I quickly discovered that I need a new bike.  I've been riding the same mountain bike since I was a teenager, and it had definitely seen better days.  



Book Recommendations

 

If you’re like me, you love a good book. Here are some recent reads that I can’t recommend enough:

📖 The Untethered Soul: The Journey Beyond Yourself

📖 The Millionaire Next Door: The Surprising Secrets of America's Wealthy

📖 If You're Not First, You're Last: Sales Strategies to Dominate Your Market and Beat Your Competition

After reading these books, you’ll no doubt come away with:

1️⃣ A better understanding of how to get out of your head.

2️⃣ Great wealth building insight.

3️⃣ A strong dose of @grantcardone motivation.

Have you read any of these? Let me know!



Family Camping Adventure

 

We went camping for the Canada Day long weekend with friends at Pinery Provincial Park near Grand Bend. 

It is an amazing provincial park, with access to great swimming, biking, hiking trails, canoeing and kayaking.  Not to mention a really good camp store that sells ice cream!

We actually came home a day early after seeing a torrential rain that was coming on the day we were supposed to pack up and go home.  By that time we had enough marshmallows, smores and bannock!



What's happening with rates

 

On July 13th, The Bank of Canada is more than likely going to raise the overnight lending rate by an additional .50%.  Prime rate will increase 4.20%, which will be .25% higher than where we started at the beginning of the pandemic. The fixed rates are currently in the 5.30% range for purchases over $1M and 5.09% for purchases under $1M with less than 20% down.

Variables are still a good deal at approximately 3.30% for purchases over $1M and 3.00% for purchases under $1M with less than 20% down, depending on the lender and client. 

The variable rates are still the product of choice since people qualify for more and will initially pay a rate 2% lower than the fixed rate equivalent. 

Should I lock in?

Borrowers would be locking into a rate that is the highest that it has been in 14-years.  There’s no advantage to locking in a rate this high when many people have a variable rate below 3%, however the following consideration may help make an informed decision:

- Liquidity: do you have enough liquid assets if borrowing costs surge 200+ basis point?

- 5-Year plan: do you foresee an improvement in your income, kids on the way, job transfer, marriage, divorce?

- Re-qualification: if needed to, could you easily get approved for a new mortgage 3-4 years from the present?



Foreclosure List in Greater Toronto Area

 

Power of Sales Toronto

Power of Sales Aurora

Power of Sales Barrie

Power of Sales Brampton

Power of Sales Clarington

Power of Sales Georgina

Power of Sales Hamilton

Power of Sales Innisfil

Power of Sales Kawartha Lakes

Power of Sales Markham

Power of Sales Milton

Power of Sales Mississauga

Power of Sales Newmarket

Power of Sales Oakville

Power of Sales Oshawa

Power of Sales Richmond Hill

Power of Sales Toronto

Power of Sales Vaughan

Power of Sales Whitby

Power of Sales Whitchurch-Stouffville



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