Mortgage Minute - October 2022 ***Volume 46***

Sean Humphries - Mortgage Broker

Dominion Lending Centres - Edge Financial

sean@torontolending.ca
(647) 293-3128
https://seanhmortgages.ca/

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Canada's Foreign Buyer Ban Starts January 1, 2023

 

In just under 3 months, the Federal Government of Canada's new Foreign Buyer rules come into effect in an effort to cool a very hot countrywide housing market.

Canada will ban foreign nationals from buying homes starting January 2023 – with notable exemptions for permanent residents and temporary residents, including temporary workers and international students.

Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland says the ban on foreign ownership of homes is needed to curb house prices in Canada and prevent them from rising so high as to push working-class and young Canadians out of the real estate market.

“We will make the market fairer for Canadians,” said Freeland. “We will prevent foreign investors from parking their money in Canada by buying up homes. We will make sure that houses are being used as homes for Canadian families rather than as a speculative financial asset class.” 



Foreclosure List in Greater Toronto Area

 

Power of Sales Toronto

Power of Sales Aurora

Power of Sales Barrie

Power of Sales Brampton

Power of Sales Clarington

Power of Sales Georgina

Power of Sales Hamilton

Power of Sales Innisfil

Power of Sales Kawartha Lakes

Power of Sales Markham

Power of Sales Milton

Power of Sales Mississauga

Power of Sales Newmarket

Power of Sales Oakville

Power of Sales Oshawa

Power of Sales Richmond Hill

Power of Sales Toronto

Power of Sales Vaughan

Power of Sales Whitby

Power of Sales Whitchurch-Stouffville



Cost of Rent now Outweighs Cost of Home Ownership

 

In some neighbourhoods, the cost of renting a home now outweighs the cost of home ownership.  With further pressure on the rental market, expect this trend to continue.

The shelter cost pendulum has swung swiftly and decisively in this direction.  I expect that we will see more would-be homeowners bite the bullet and pay higher rates in order to get into a home that would have been out of budget a few short months ago.  

Did you know at one point in the not so distance past we didn’t have the Toronto land transfer tax or the stress test or the foreign buyer’s tax?  When all of these factors were introduced there was a considerable and short-lived downturn in the market.  The sky was falling. And then something magical happened... the market recovered.  

A potential new homeowner will only evaluate their current situation and their current purchasing power.  They won’t consider that their income could have qualified them for a higher mortgage before the stress test, or they didn’t need to pay the land transfer tax once-upon-a-time.  

These higher rates will soon pass, and as soon as the shock of higher rates wears off, people will return to purchasing homes.  It’s the more practical solution.  



Harvesting Potatoes!

 

The family tradition continues! 

Each year the Humphries family get together to harvest potatoes at my parent's house.  

There was 15 of us out there ranging from 4 to 69-years old!  My four-year old niece picked up more potatoes than anyone, and even got the biggest one.   

We harvested four and a half bushels, and my Dad did another one by himself in the last couple of weeks. 

French Fries, anyone?

Bonus Dad Joke:

Who is the most powerful potato

Darth Tater



Dad, I killed it out there.

 

My daughter started in the Leaside Wildcats learn-to-play program this week.  

I was blown away by how amazing the program is.  There are at least as many volunteer coaches as there are skaters.  If your daughter is interested in hockey, this is a great program to get them started in.  The volunteers are from a girl's team and they are very supportive of the participants.  I highly recommend it.  

After the first practice, she came off the ice and told me: "Dad, I killed it out there."  



Why are Rates Going up?

 

Why are rates going up so much? 

As prices for goods across the world continue to go up (caused by increased gas and oil shortages, reduced food supply and pandemic supply chain pressures), it creates an expectation that prices will continue to rise rapidly in the future. 

Policy makers at the world’s central banks are worried that these expectations will get “baked in” to the consumers’ mindset, which will incite labour forces to demand to be paid much more to pay for these goods. 

Since demand will not decline it will push the cost of goods up. Which will then again put pressure on the labour market to make more money to pay for these goods. It causes a never ending cycle of price increases and labour costs which devalues the country’s currency. Without a stable currency, the country’s banking system is at risk of collapse.  If that happens, we’re all in trouble.  

As a result, borrowing costs are expected to continue rising as most of the world’s big central banks rush to combat inflation by increasing their policy rate.  In Canada, we call this rate the overnight lending rate or simply the policy rate.  

With the expectation of short-term rate increases, and with it, the very real prospect of a recession, investors are putting their money into safe havens like the US dollar and bonds with guaranteed returns.  In turn, this pushes the price of bonds up as more people want the guaranteed return.  This raises the prices of the fixed mortgage rates (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7 and 10-year fixed terms) since the asset classes are related. 

Subsequently, The S&P 500 hit its weakest level since Nov. 30 2020 as investors shy away from stocks in favour of protecting their portfolios with guaranteed returns in the bond market.  Expect this trend to continue.  



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