I Know A Guy VIP - June 2025

Ric Lazare - Mortgage & Life Insurance Broker

ric@iknowaguy.ca
250-317-3882
http://www.iKnowAGuy.Ca

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Bank of Canada holds rate at 2.75%

 

June 4, 2025

The Bank of Canada decided to keep its key interest rate, called the overnight rate, at 2.75%. This rate influences the cost of things like loans, mortgages, and savings across Canada.

What’s going on globally?
The U.S. keeps changing tariffs (taxes on imported goods), creating a lot of uncertainty. The U.S. and China have lowered some extreme tariffs and started trade talks with other countries, but the results are unclear, and tariffs are still higher than earlier this year. More trade changes might be coming. The global economy has held up, but some growth came from businesses rushing to avoid tariffs. In the U.S., people are spending, but imports hurt economic growth, and inflation is above 2%, with tariffs likely to push prices up more. Europe is growing due to exports and plans to spend more on defense. China’s economy is slowing as past government support fades, and U.S. tariffs are hitting Chinese exports. Financial markets have stabilized since April’s chaos, but they’re still jumpy about U.S. policy. Oil prices are about the same as earlier this year.

What’s happening in Canada?
Canada’s economy grew by 2.2% in early 2025, a bit better than the Bank expected. Businesses exported more to the U.S. and stocked up on goods to beat tariffs, which helped. But spending by people and the government slowed, and fewer homes were sold. Businesses spent more on equipment, which was a plus. However, jobs are tougher to find, especially in industries tied to trade, and unemployment is now 6.9%. The economy is likely to slow down soon as exports and stockpiles drop, and everyday spending stays weak.

Inflation (how fast prices rise) dropped to 1.7% in April, mostly because the federal carbon tax was scrapped, which lowered prices. Without that, inflation was 2.3%, a bit higher than the Bank thought. People and businesses expect tariffs to make things more expensive, and many companies plan to pass those costs to customers. The Bank is keeping a close watch on prices.

Why keep the rate at 2.75%?
With U.S. tariffs causing uncertainty, the economy slowing but not collapsing, and prices rising a bit more than expected, the Bank chose to hold the rate steady. They want to learn more about how tariffs will affect Canada before making changes. The Bank is balancing a weaker economy (which could lower prices) against higher costs from tariffs (which could raise prices).

The Bank is being careful, watching risks like:

How tariffs might cut demand for Canadian goods.

How this could hurt jobs, business spending, and what people buy.

How fast tariff costs make everyday items pricier.

How people’s views on future prices change.

The Bank’s main job is to keep prices stable and support the economy through this global trade mess. They’ll keep checking data to decide what to do next.



THE 2025 BANK OF CANADA INTEREST RATE MEETING SCHEDULE

 

WHEN IS THE NEXT BOC MEETING?
 

The Bank of Canada meets eight times per year and makes announcements about rates. Now more than ever, these dates matter very much to our industry and and to anyone with a variable rate. Here are the dates listed below for the remainder of 2025.

As always, should you have any questions, please feel free to reach out to discuss. I am happy to help. 

2025:

Wednesday, July 30, 2025

Wednesday, September 17, 2025

Wednesday, October 29, 2025

Wednesday, December 10, 2025



No GST for First Time Homebuyers buying Brand New

 

🏡 Major GST Break for First-Time Home Buyers: A Game Changer for Canadians

As of May 27, 2025, the Canadian government has introduced a significant incentive for first-time home buyers: a full rebate of the 5% Goods and Services Tax (GST) on new homes priced up to $1 million. For homes valued between $1 million and $1.5 million, the rebate is phased out linearly—for example, a home priced at $1.25 million would be eligible for a 50% GST rebate. You may be surprised that in this case the definition of a First time Home Buyer does not mean never having owned a home....

To be considered a “first-time home buyer” for the purposes of the FTHB GST Rebate, an individual would generally need to meet the following conditions:

be at least 18 years of age;
be either a Canadian citizen or a permanent resident of Canada; and
not have lived in a home, whether in or outside Canada, that they owned or that their spouse or common-law partner owned in the calendar year or in the four preceding calendar years.

Why This Matters:

Substantial Savings: This rebate can save first-time buyers up to $50,000, making homeownership more attainable.

Boost to New Home Construction: By incentivizing the purchase of new homes, this measure aims to stimulate the construction industry and increase housing supply across Canada.

Broader Eligibility: Unlike previous rebates limited to homes under $450,000, this new policy reflects current market realities, especially in high-cost areas.

Eligibility Highlights:

Must be a first-time home buyer (per the definition mentions above.

The home must be a new construction intended as the primary residence.

The agreement of purchase and sale must be entered into between May 27, 2025, and 2031, with construction beginning before 2031 and completion before 2036.

This initiative is a significant step toward making homeownership more accessible for Canadians, particularly in markets where affordability has been a longstanding challenge.

For more details on the rebate and how to apply, visit the official government announcement: (Canada.ca)



Understanding Fixed and Variable Mortgage Rates: What’s Right for You in Today’s Market?

 

 When it comes to choosing a mortgage, one of the most important decisions to consider is deciding between a fixed-rate and a variable-rate mortgage. Both options have their benefits, but the best choice depends on your financial goals, tolerance for risk, and the current economic climate. Let’s break it down:

Fixed-Rate Mortgages

A fixed-rate mortgage locks in your interest rate for the duration of your term, usually 1 to 5 years.

Benefits:

Predictability: Your monthly payments stay the same, which makes budgeting easier.

Stability: You’re protected from interest rate hikes, providing peace of mind.

Ideal for Long-Term Planning: If you plan to stay in your home for a while or prefer financial consistency, this option is great for you.

Drawbacks:

Fixed rates are often higher than variable rates at the start of the term. You might miss out on savings if rates drop during your term.

Variable-Rate Mortgages

Variable-rate mortgages, on the other hand, have an interest rate that fluctuates with changes to your lender's prime rate.

Benefits:

Lower Initial Rates: Historically, variable rates tend to be lower than fixed rates.

Potential Savings: If interest rates decrease, you benefit from lower monthly payments.

Flexibility: Variable-rate mortgages often have lower penalties if you choose to break your term early.

Drawbacks:

Payments can increase if interest rates rise, leading to unpredictability. Not ideal for those who prefer financial stability or have a tight budget.

Let’s Talk About Your Goals

Every borrower’s situation is unique. Whether you’re a first-time homebuyer or looking to refinance, I’d love to discuss your options and help you choose the best mortgage strategy for your needs.

Feel free to reach out for a personalized consultation—I’m here to help you make informed decisions with confidence.



Newsletter Challenge

 

This newsletter's question: What year was Earth Day first celebrated?
(Try not to google the answer;)

As always, the first person to text or email me the correct answer wins a $20 Guusto Gift Card to use wherever you want!



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